2018 Alabama gubernatorial election
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185px County Results
Ivey: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Maddox: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% |
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2018 Alabama gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Alabama. Incumbent Republican Governor Kay Ivey, who took office on April 10, 2017, upon the resignation of Governor Robert Bentley, ran for election to a full term and won over Tuscaloosa mayor Walt Maddox.[1] Ivey will be sworn into office on January 14, 2019. This is the first gubernatorial election since 2002 in which a Democrat won Tuscaloosa County and the first since 1990 in which neighboring Pickens County voted for a different candidate than Tuscaloosa.
Contents
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Tommy Battle, Mayor of Huntsville[2][3]
- Scott Dawson, evangelist[4]
- Bill Hightower, State Senator[5][6]
- Kay Ivey, incumbent Governor[7]
- Michael McAllister, former prison officer[8][9] (died April 2018)
Withdrew
- Slade Blackwell, State Senator[10][11][12][13][14]
- David Carrington, Jefferson County Commissioner[15]
- Twinkle Cavanaugh, president of the Public Service Commission (running for Lieutenant Governor)[16]
- Stacy Lee George, former Morgan County Commissioner and candidate for governor in 2014[17][18]
- Josh Jones, businessman[19][20][21]
- John McMillan, Alabama Commissioner of Agriculture and Industries[22][23] (running for state treasurer)
Declined
- Rick Burgess, radio host[24]
- Bill "Bubba" Bussey, radio host[24]
- Bradley Byrne, U.S. Representative and candidate for governor in 2010[25][26] (running for reelection)
- Mary Scott Hunter, member of the Alabama State Board of Education (running for the state senate after initially running for Lieutenant Governor)[11][27]
- Del Marsh, President Pro Tempore of the Alabama Senate[28] (running for reelection)
- Arthur Orr, State Senator[29][12] (running for reelection)
- Trip Pittman, state senator and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2017[11][12]
- Greg Reed, Majority Leader of the Alabama Senate[10][12] (running for reelection)
- Luther Strange, former U.S. Senator and former attorney general of Alabama[29][10][30][31][32]
- Tommy Tuberville, former Auburn University football coach[33][34]
- Cam Ward, State Senator[11][12] (running for reelection)
- Jim Zeigler, State Auditor of Alabama[35][36] (running for reelection)
Endorsements
| Scott Dawson |
|---|
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| Kay Ivey |
|---|
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| Tommy Battle |
|---|
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Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tommy Battle |
Scott Dawson |
Bill Hightower |
Kay Ivey |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Tarrance Group (R-Ivey) | May 20–22, 2018 | 602 | ± 4.1% | 18% | 7% | 5% | 58% | 12% |
| Leverage Public Strategies | April 23–30, 2018 | 600 | ± 3.9% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 47% | 30% |
| The Tarrance Group (R-Ivey) | August 28–30, 2017 | 601 | ± 4.1% | 11% | – | 3% | 66% | 16% |
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Hypothetical polling |
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Results
File:Alabama gubernatorial Republican primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Ivey
-
>90%
-
70–80%
-
60–70%
-
50–60%
-
40–50%
Battle
-
40–50%
-
60–70%
| Republican primary results[41] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Kay Ivey (incumbent) | 330,743 | 56.1% | |
| Republican | Tommy Battle | 146,887 | 24.9% | |
| Republican | Scott Dawson | 79,302 | 13.5% | |
| Republican | Bill Hightower | 29,275 | 5.0% | |
| Republican | Michael McAllister | 3,326 | 0.6% | |
| Total votes | 589,533 | 100.0% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Sue Bell Cobb, former Chief Justice of the Alabama Supreme Court[42]
- Christopher A. Countryman, equality activist, former juvenile corrections officer and former pastor [43][44][45]
- James C. Fields, former state representative and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014[46][47][48]
- Walt Maddox, Mayor of Tuscaloosa[49]
- Doug "New Blue" Smith, nominee for Alabama Commissioner of Agriculture and Industries in 2014[50]
- Anthony White, ordained minister[51]
Withdrew
- Jason Childs, truck driver and former pastor[52][53][54]
Declined
- Doug Jones, U.S. Senator[31]
- Terri Sewell, U.S. Representative from Alabama's 7th Congressional District
Endorsements
| Sue Bell Cobb |
|---|
|
| James Fields |
|---|
|
| Christopher A. Countryman |
|---|
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| Walt Maddox |
|---|
|
Results
File:Alabama gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Maddox
-
>90%
-
80–90%
-
70–80%
-
60–70%
-
50–60%
-
40–50%
-
<40%
Cobb
-
<40%
-
40–50%
-
50–60%
Fields
-
50–60%
White
-
<40%
| Democratic primary results[77] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Democratic | Walt Maddox | 154,559 | 54.6% | |
| Democratic | Sue Bell Cobb | 82,043 | 29.0% | |
| Democratic | James Fields | 22,635 | 8.0% | |
| Democratic | Anthony White | 9,677 | 3.4% | |
| Democratic | Doug "New Blue" Smith | 9,244 | 3.3% | |
| Democratic | Christopher Countryman | 4,923 | 1.7% | |
| Total votes | 283,081 | 100.0% | ||
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Tony Hewitt, Jr., police officer[78]
- Eric Lathan, security guard, Iraq War veteran and candidate for the Jefferson County Commission in 2010[79]
Declined
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[84] | Solid R | September 28, 2018 |
| The Washington Post[85] | Safe R | October 16, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[86] | Solid R | October 17, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[87] | Solid R | September 28, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[88] | Safe R | September 20, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[89] | Safe R | October 9, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[90] | Safe R | September 28, 2018 |
| Fox News[91][lower-alpha 1] | Likely R | October 9, 2018 |
| Politico[92] | Solid R | October 9, 2018 |
| Governing[93] | Safe R | October 2, 2018 |
Endorsements
| Christopher A. Countryman |
|---|
|
| Walt Maddox |
|---|
|
| Kay Ivey |
|---|
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Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kay Ivey (R) |
Walt Maddox (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey | September 9–24, 2018 | 1,254 | ± 3.8% | 51% | 26% | 22% |
| Research Consultants (R-FarmPAC) | September 22, 2018 | 316 | ± 5.5% | 58% | 38% | 4% |
| Cygnal (R) | July 24–25, 2018 | 1,027 | ± 3.1% | 56% | 42% | 3% |
| Neighborhood Research Corporation (R) | June 12–14 and 18–21, 2018 | 440 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 28% | – |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kay Ivey (incumbent) | 1,022,457 | 59.46% | -4.10% | |
| Democratic | Walt Maddox | 694,495 | 40.39% | +4.15% | |
| n/a | Write-ins | 2,637 | 0.15% | -0.05% | |
| Total votes | 1,719,589 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
See also
Notes
- ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
References
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- ↑ 94.00 94.01 94.02 94.03 94.04 94.05 94.06 94.07 94.08 94.09 94.10 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ http://fcpa.alabamavotes.gov/PublicSite/SearchPages/FilingDetail.aspx?FilingID=192778
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- ↑ https://www.sos.alabama.gov/sites/default/files/voter-pdfs/2018/2018-Official-General-Election-Results-Certified-2018-11-27.pdf
External links
- Official gubernatorial campaign websites
- Tony Hewitt, Jr. (I) for Governor
- Kay Ivey (R) for Governor
- Walt Maddox (D) for Governor
- Chad "Chig" Martin (I) for Governor
 Alabama gubernatorial elections |
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