Iowa gubernatorial election, 2018
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| ← 2014 |
November 6, 2018 |
2022 → |
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200px
County Results
Reynolds: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70-80%
Hubbell: 40–50% 50–60% 70–80% |
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The 2018 Iowa gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Republican Governor Kim Reynolds ran for election to a full term, facing Democratic businessman Fred Hubbell, Libertarian Jake Porter, and independent candidate Gary Siegwarth.
On Election Day, Reynolds won 50.3% of the vote and carried 88 of Iowa's 99 counties. She became the first female governor of Iowa elected in her own right.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominated
Withdrew
Declined
Endorsements
Results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominated
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Declined
- Chaz Allen, state senator[23][32]
- Joe Bolkcom, state senator[33]
- Bill Brauch, former director of the Consumer Protection Division of the Iowa Attorney General's Office[34][35][36]
- Mike Carberry, Johnson County Supervisor[25][37]
- Jeff Danielson, state senator[38][39]
- Michael Gronstal, former Majority Leader of the Iowa Senate[38][40]
- Chris Hall, state representative[41][42]
- Rita Hart, state senator (nominee for Lieutenant Governor)[34][43]
- Jack Hatch, former state senator and nominee for Governor of Iowa in 2014[25][44]
- Rob Hogg, Minority Leader of the Iowa Senate and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[45][34][38][33]
- Pam Jochum, state senator[46]
- Dave Loebsack, U.S. Representative[47][34][48]
- Liz Mathis, state senator[45][34][38][49]
- Jim Mowrer, nominee for IA-04 in 2014 and IA-03 in 2016 (ran for the nomination for Secretary of State)[50][51]
- Tyler Olson, former state representative, former chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party and candidate for Governor of Iowa in 2014[45][52][34][53]
- Janet Petersen, state senator[54]
- Steve Sodders, former state senator[55][56]
- Tom Vilsack, former United States Secretary of Agriculture and former Governor of Iowa[57]
Endorsements
| Nate Boulton (withdrew) |
- Statewide official
- State legislators
- Tony Bisignano, state senator[54]
- Joe Bolkcom, state senator[21]
- Tod Bowman, state senator[54]
- Bill Dotzler, state senator[54]
- Pam Jochum, state senator and former President of the Iowa Senate[21]
- Jerry Kearns, state representative[54]
- Kevin Kinney, state senator[54]
- Liz Mathis, state senator[54]
- Amy Nielsen, state representative[54]
- Rick Olson, state representative[54]
- Janet Petersen, state senator[54]
- Herman Quirmbach, state senator[54]
- Rita Hart, state senator[54]
- Art Staed, state representative[54]
- Rich Taylor, state senator[54]
- Organizations
|
| Cathy Glasson |
- Elected officials
- Iowa Democratic Party officials
- Jason Frerichs, Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member, chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party Progressive Caucus[61]
- Dylan P. Funk, Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member, vice-chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party Progressive Caucus[61]
- Mason Fraker, Henry County Democratic Party vice-chairman[61]
- Nora Taft, 2nd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[61]
- Evan Burger, 4th District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[61]
- Jessica Fears, 4th District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[61]
- Holly Herbert, 3rd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[61]
- Jon Green, 2nd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[61]
- Sarah J. Hinds, Linn County Democratic Party credentials committee chairperson[61]
- Kate Revaux, 2nd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[61]
- Alex Anderson, Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee affirmative action chairperson[61]
- Lindsey Ellickson, Linn County Democratic Party central committee member[61]
- Labor union leaders
- Chris Laursen, UAW Local 74 president[61]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
|
| Fred Hubbell |
- Statewide officials
- State legislators
- Staci Appel, former state senator[44]
- Deborah Berry, former state representative[44]
- Dennis Black, former state senator[44]
- Wayne Ford, former state representative[44]
- Ruth Ann Gaines, state representative[44]
- Jack Hatch, former state senator[44]
- Chris Hall, state representative[42]
- Doris Kelley, former state representative[44]
- George Kinley, former Majority Leader of the Iowa Senate[44]
- Vicki Lensing, state representative[44]
- Mary Mascher, state representative[44]
- Kevin McCarthy, former Majority Leader of the Iowa House of Representatives[44]
- Helen Miller, state representative[44]
- Todd Prichard, state representative[73]
- Mike Reasoner, former state representative[44]
- Joe Riding, former state representative[44]
- Sally Stutsman, former state representative[44]
- Jane Teaford, former state representative[44]
- Cindy Winckler, state representative[44]
- Mary Wolfe, state representative[44]
- Frank Wood, former state senator[44]
- Newspaper
|
| Andy McGuire |
- Leonard Boswell, former U.S. Representative[40]
- Bonnie Campbell, former Iowa Attorney General[40]
- Roxanne Conlin, former United States Attorney for the Southern District of Iowa and 2010 U.S. Senate nominee[40]
- Michael Gronstal, former Majority Leader of the Iowa Senate[40]
- Gary Kroeger, 2016 State House candidate and Activist[40]
- Linda Nelson, former state representative and former president of the Iowa State Education Association[40]
- Phyllis Thede, state representative[40]
- Ryan McDaniel, president of the Student Leadership Council for Iowa Safe Schools[40]
- Jamie Woods, chair of the Black Caucus of the Iowa Democratic Party[40]
- Jo Ann Zimmerman, former lieutenant governor of Iowa[40]
- Howard Dean, former Governor of Vermont and former Democratic National Committee chairman[74]
|
| John Norris |
- Marti Anderson, state representative
- Jo Oldson, state representative
- Brad Anderson, 2014 Democratic Secretary of State nominee
- Tom Hockensmith, Polk County Supervisor
- Rod Sullivan, Johnson County Supervisor
- Travis Weipert, Johnson County Auditor
- Andrew Wenthe, mayor of Fayette, former state representative
- Brian Quirk, former state representative
- Don Ruby, Iowa Democratic Party Secretary
- Daryll Beal, former state senator
- Norm Sterzenbach, former executive director, Iowa Democratic Party
- Roger Thomas, former state representative
- Marcia Nichols, former political director for AFSCME 61
- Dave Schroeder, former state representative
|
| Todd Prichard (withdrew) |
- Bruce Bearinger, state representative[75]
- Timi Brown-Powers, state representative[75]
- David Dawson, former state representative[75]
- Bob Dvorsky, state senator[75]
- Ro Foege, former state representative[75]
- Ruth Ann Gaines, state representative[75]
- Dave Jacoby, state representative[75]
- Monica Kurth, state representative[75]
- Tim Kacena, state representative[75]
- Dan Muhlbauer, former state representative[75]
- Sharon Steckman, state representative[75]
- Sally Stutsman, former state representative[75]
- Roger Thomas, former state representative[75]
- Mary Wolfe, state representative[75]
|
Polling
| Hypothetical polling |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin
of error |
Nate
Boulton |
Cathy
Glasson |
Fred
Hubbell |
Andrea
McGuire |
Jon
Neiderbach |
John
Norris |
Ross
Wilburn |
Other |
Undecided |
| Selzer & Company |
May 13–15, 2018 |
501 |
± 4.4% |
20% |
13% |
31% |
5% |
– |
5% |
3% |
10% |
14% |
| Remington |
May 5–6, 2018 |
2,315 |
± 2.0% |
20% |
7% |
46% |
3% |
– |
5% |
1% |
– |
18% |
| 20-20 Insight |
November 8–10, 2017 |
762 |
± 3.6% |
13% |
6% |
22% |
3% |
2% |
5% |
1% |
– |
47% |
|
Results
Libertarian primary
Libertarian Party presidential nominee Gary Johnson received 3.8 percent of the votes in Iowa in 2016, surpassing the 2 percent threshold to attain full political party status.[76] As a result, the Libertarian Party will be allowed to hold a primary to select a nominee.[76]
Candidates
Nominated
- Jake Porter, business consultant
Declared
- Marco Battaglia, musician[77]
- Jake Porter, nominee for Secretary of State in 2010 and 2014[78][79][80]
Endorsements
Results
| Libertarian primary results |
| Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
|
Libertarian |
Jake Porter |
991 |
53.9 |
|
Libertarian |
Marco Battaglia |
705 |
38.4 |
|
Libertarian |
Write-ins |
142 |
7.7 |
| Total votes |
1,838 |
100 |
Independents
Candidates
Withdrew
Endorsements
General election
Debates
Predictions
| Source |
Ranking |
As of |
| The Cook Political Report[89] |
Tossup |
October 26, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[90] |
Tilt D |
November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[91] |
Lean D |
November 5, 2018 |
| Real Clear Politics[92] |
Tossup |
October 30, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[93] |
Tossup |
October 26, 2018 |
| Governing[94] |
Tossup |
October 30, 2018 |
| Politico[95] |
Tossup |
October 30, 2018 |
| Fox News[96] |
Tossup |
October 30, 2018 |
| The Washington Post[97] |
Tossup |
October 16, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[98] |
Tossup |
November 3, 2018 |
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin
of error |
Kim
Reynolds (R) |
Fred
Hubbell (D) |
Jake
Porter (L) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Change Research |
November 2–4, 2018 |
961 |
– |
46% |
49% |
3% |
1%[99] |
– |
| Selzer & Company |
October 30 – November 2, 2018 |
801 |
± 3.5% |
44% |
46% |
2% |
1% |
7% |
| Emerson College |
October 29 – November 1, 2018 |
1,462 |
± 2.7% |
49% |
45% |
– |
2% |
5% |
| University of Iowa |
October 8–22, 2018 |
452 |
– |
40% |
48% |
– |
5% |
6% |
| Selzer & Company |
September 17–20, 2018 |
555 |
± 4.2% |
41% |
43% |
7% |
0% |
9% |
| Emerson College |
September 6–8, 2018 |
1,000 |
± 3.2% |
31% |
36% |
– |
7% |
26% |
| Selzer & Company |
January 28–31, 2018 |
801 |
± 3.5% |
42% |
37% |
– |
12% |
10% |
| Hypothetical polling |
- with Nate Boulton
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin
of error |
Kim
Reynolds (R) |
Nate
Boulton (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Selzer & Company |
January 28–31, 2018 |
801 |
± 3.5% |
41% |
37% |
11% |
11% |
- with Cathy Glasson
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin
of error |
Kim
Reynolds (R) |
Cathy
Glasson (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Selzer & Company |
January 28–31, 2018 |
801 |
± 3.5% |
44% |
31% |
14% |
12% |
- with generic Democrat
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin
of error |
Kim
Reynolds (R) |
Generic
Democrat |
Undecided |
| 20/20 Insights (D-Mowrer) |
June 19–21, 2017 |
526 |
± 4.3% |
44% |
39% |
17% |
- with John Norris
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin
of error |
Kim
Reynolds (R) |
John
Norris (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Selzer & Company |
January 28–31, 2018 |
801 |
± 3.5% |
41% |
30% |
14% |
15% |
- with Andy McGuire
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin
of error |
Kim
Reynolds (R) |
Andy
McGuire (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Selzer & Company |
January 28–31, 2018 |
801 |
± 3.5% |
42% |
30% |
15% |
13% |
|
Results
While pre-election polls showed Reynolds trailing Hubbell,[100] Reynolds won 50.3% of the vote on Election Day[101] and carried 88 of Iowa's 99 counties.[102] She became the first female governor of Iowa elected in her own right.[103]
See also
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
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