2018 Wyoming gubernatorial election
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250px County Results
Gordon: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Throne: 40–50% 50–60% |
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The 2018 Wyoming gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of Wyoming. Incumbent Republican Governor Matt Mead was term-limited and could not seek re-election to a third consecutive term. Republican nominee Mark Gordon defeated Democratic nominee Mary Throne by around 40 percentage points.[1]
Contents
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominated
- Mark Gordon, Wyoming State Treasurer[2][3][4]
Declared
- Bill Dahlin, businessman[5][6]
- Foster Friess, businessman and activist[7]
- Sam Galeotos, businessman[8]
- Harriet Hageman, attorney[9]
- Taylor Haynes, physician, write-in candidate for governor in 2010 and candidate for governor in 2014[10][11]
Withdrew
- Rex Rammell, veterinarian and perennial candidate[12] (running for Constitution Party nomination)[13]
Endorsements
| Foster Friess |
|---|
|
| Sam Galeotos |
|---|
|
| Mark Gordon |
|---|
|
| Harriet Hageman |
|---|
|
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Foster Friess |
Sam Galeotos |
Mark Gordon |
Harriet Hageman |
Taylor Haynes |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Wyoming | August 17–19, 2018 | 357 | – | 20% | 10% | 26% | 18% | 9% | 1%[35] | 15% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | August 11–14, 2018 | 1,775 | ± 2.4% | 21% | 10% | 20% | 16% | 6% | 8%[36] | 20% |
| University of Wyoming | June 18–20, 2018 | 596 | ± 4.0% | 6% | 14% | 19% | 11% | 10% | 1%[35] | 35% |
Results
File:2018 WY gubernatorial Republican primary.svg
Results by county:
Gordon—50–60%
Gordon—40–50%
Gordon—30–40%
Gordon—<30%
Friess—<30%
Friess—30–40%
Hageman—<30%
Hageman—30–40%
Hageman—40–50%
| Republican primary results[37] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Mark Gordon | 38,951 | 33.0 | |
| Republican | Foster Friess | 29,842 | 25.3 | |
| Republican | Harriet Hageman | 25,052 | 21.2 | |
| Republican | Sam Galeotos | 14,554 | 12.3 | |
| Republican | Taylor Haynes | 6,511 | 5.5 | |
| Republican | Bill Dahlin | 1,763 | 1.5 | |
| n/a | Under votes | 1,269 | 1.1 | |
| Republican | Write-ins | 113 | 0.0 | |
| n/a | Over votes | 46 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 118,101 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominated
- Mary Throne, former Minority Leader of the Wyoming House of Representatives[10][38][39]
Declared
- Ken Casner, candidate for governor in 2002[40]
- Michael Allen Green, nominee for the U.S. House of Representatives in 2000[40]
- Rex Wilde, candidate for governor in 2010[40]
Declined
- James W. Byrd, State Representative[41] (running for Secretary of State)
- Ryan Greene, nominee for the U.S. House of Representatives in 2016 (running for Mayor of Rock Springs)[10][42][3][43]
- Chris Rothfuss, Minority Leader of the Wyoming Senate and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2008[10][3]
- Milward Simpson, director of the Wyoming Nature Conservancy[10]
- Gary Trauner, businessman and nominee for U.S. House of Representatives in 2006 and 2008 (running for U.S. Senate)[44]
Endorsements
| Mary Throne |
|---|
|
Results
File:2018 WY gubernatorial Democratic primary.svg
Results by county:
Throne—80–90%
Throne—70–80%
Throne—60–70%
Throne—50–60%
| Democratic primary results[37] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Democratic | Mary Throne | 12,948 | 66.5 | |
| Democratic | Michael Green | 2,391 | 12.3 | |
| n/a | Under votes | 1,385 | 7.1 | |
| Democratic | Kenneth Casner | 1,213 | 6.2 | |
| Democratic | Rex Wilde | 1,201 | 6.2 | |
| Democratic | Write-ins | 323 | 1.7 | |
| n/a | Over votes | 13 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 19,474 | 100.0 | ||
Independents and third parties
Candidates
Declared
- Rex Rammell, veterinarian and perennial candidate (Constitution)[13]
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 6, 2018
- Complete video of debate, October 18, 2018
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[52] | Safe R | October 26, 2018 |
| The Washington Post[53] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[54] | Solid R | November 5, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[55] | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[56] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[57] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[58] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[59][lower-alpha 1] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Politico[60] | Solid R | November 5, 2018 |
| Governing[61] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
- ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Gordon (R) |
Mary Throne (D) |
Rex Rammell (C) |
Lawrence Struempf (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 858 | – | 61% | 27% | 6% | 4% | – |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mark Gordon | 136,412 | 67.12% | +7.73% | |
| Democratic | Mary Throne | 55,965 | 27.54% | +0.29% | |
| Constitution | Rex Rammell | 6,751 | 3.32% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Lawrence Struempf | 3,010 | 1.48% | -0.93% | |
| n/a | Write-ins | 1,100 | 0.54% | -4.52% | |
| Total votes | 203,238 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
References
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- ↑ https://web.archive.org/web/20180821134408/https:/twitter.com/kimguilfoyle/status/1031719909292695553
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- ↑ 35.0 35.1 Bill Dahlin 1%
- ↑ Bill Dahlin 2%, 6% "voted early."
- ↑ 37.0 37.1 Statewide Election Results
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- ↑ https://soswy.state.wy.us/Elections/Docs/2018/Results/General/2018_Statewide_Candidates_Summary.pdf
External links
- Official campaign websites
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