2021 New Mexico's 1st congressional district special election

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New Mexico's 1st congressional district special election
← 2020 June 1, 2021 2022 →
New Mexico's 1st congressional district
  x150px x150px
Nominee Melanie Stansbury Mark Moores
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 79,837 47,111
Percentage 60.4% 35.6%
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Stansbury:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      60–70%      70–80%     80–90%      90–100%
Moores:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Tie:       No votes:      
U.S. Representative before election

Deb Haaland
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Melanie Stansbury
Democratic

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A special election was held on June 1, 2021, to fill the vacancy in New Mexico's 1st congressional district created by Representative Deb Haaland's resignation from the United States House of Representatives to become the Secretary of the Interior in Joe Biden's administration.

State Representatives Patricia Roybal Caballero, Georgene Louis and Melanie Stansbury and state Senator Antoinette Sedillo Lopez sought the Democratic nomination. State Senator Mark Moores, radio host Eddy Aragon and activist Elisa Martinez sought the Republican nomination.

The Democratic Party nominated Stansbury, the Republican Party nominated Moores, the Libertarian Party selected Chris Manning; former Commissioner of Public Lands Aubrey Dunn Jr. ran as an independent. Stansbury won the election with over 60% percent of the vote.[1]

Background

Representative Michelle Lujan Grisham of New Mexico's 1st congressional district announced in 2016, that she would seek the Democratic nomination for the 2018 gubernatorial election.[2] Deb Haaland, the former chair of the Democratic Party of New Mexico, ran for the seat with the Democratic nomination and won in the 2018 election.[3] She was reelected in the 2020 election.[4]

Haaland was selected by President Joe Biden to served as Secretary of the Interior and she was approved by the United States Senate by a vote of fifty-one to forty.[5][6] Haaland resigned from her seat on March 16, 2021, and a special election was ordered by the Secretary of State of New Mexico to be held on June 1.[7][8] Each party's state central committee selected their candidate for the special election instead of using a primary system.[9]

Democratic committee selection

Antoinette Sedillo Lopez, a member of the New Mexico Senate who had run in the 2018 Democratic primary for the seat, and Melanie Stansbury, a member of the New Mexico House of Representatives, announced on December 21, 2020, that they would seek the Democratic nomination for the special election.[10][11] On January 4, 2021, Georgene Louis, a member of the state house, announced that she would seek the Democratic nomination.[12] Victor Reyes, the legislator director for Governor Grisham, announced on January 8, that he would seek the Democratic nomination.[13] Patricia Roybal Caballero, a member of the state house, announced her campaign on January 27.[14]

Stansbury won the nomination after defeating Lopez, who had placed first in the first round of voting, in the runoff.[15]

Candidates

Selected

Eliminated in second round

Eliminated in first round

Declined

Endorsements

Convention results

Democratic convention results[36][15]
Candidate First round votes First round pct. Second round votes Second round pct.
Melanie Stansbury 43 21.61% 103 51.24%
Antoinette Sedillo Lopez 74 37.19% 97 48.26%
Randi McGinn 34 17.09% Eliminated
Victor Reyes 18 9.05% Eliminated
Selinda Guerrero 13 6.53% Eliminated
Georgene Louis 13 6.53% Eliminated
Francisco Fernández 2 1.01% Eliminated
Patricia Roybal Caballero 1 0.50% Eliminated
Abstained 1 0.50% 1 0.50%
Total 199 100% 201 100%

Republican committee selection

State Senator Mark Moores was selected by the Republican state central committee to serve as the Republican candidate in the special election on March 27.[37][38]

Candidates

Selected

Not selected

Withdrew before committee selection

Endorsements

Convention results

Republican convention results[45][46]
Candidate Votes Pct.
Mark Moores 49 40%
Eddy Aragon 34 28%
Elisa Martinez 20 17%
Jared Vander Dussen 7 6%
Ronnie Lucero 6 5%
Michaela Chavez 5 4%
Jonathan Gonzalez 0 0%
Total 121 100%

Libertarian committee selection

Candidates

Selected

Independents

Aubrey Dunn Jr., who had served as the New Mexico Commissioner of Public Lands as a Republican and Libertarian, filed to run as an independent for the seat on January 8, 2021.[13] Two other candidates, Laura Olivas and Robert Ornelas, ran as write-in candidates.[48]

Candidates

Declared

Certified write-in

Endorsements

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[53] Likely D June 1, 2021
Inside Elections[54] Solid D May 7, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[55] Likely D May 26, 2021

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Melanie
Stansbury (D)		 Mark
Moores (R)		 Aubrey
Dunn (I)		 Chris
Manning (L)		 Undecided
RRH Elections/Elections Daily May 18–21, 2021 555 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 33% 5% 3% 9%
Notes
  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Results

2021 New Mexico's 1st congressional district special election[78]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Melanie Stansbury 79,837 60.36% +2.17%
Republican Mark Moores 47,111 35.62% -6.19%
Independent Aubrey Dunn Jr. 3,534 2.67% N/A
Libertarian Chris Manning 1,734 1.31%
Write-in 46 0.03% N/A
Total votes 132,262 100.0%
Democratic hold

By county

County Melanie Stansbury
Democratic		 Mark Moores
Republican		 Various candidates
Other parties		 Margin Total votes
# % # % # % # %
Bernalillo 74,181 61.40% 41,984 34.75% 4,641 3.84% 32,197 26.65% 120,806
Sandoval 3,686 59.36% 2,289 36.86% 235 3.78% 1,397 22.50% 6,210
Santa Fe 611 38.94% 875 55.77% 83 5.29% -264 -16.83% 1,569
Torrance 945 34.43% 1,503 54.75% 297 10.82% -558 -20.33% 2,745
Valencia 415 44.58% 460 49.41% 56 6.01% -45 -4.83% 931
Totals 79,838 60.36% 47,111 35.62% 5,314 4.02% 32,727 24.74% 132,263

See also

References

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External links

Official websites for candidates
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