2023 Prince Edward Island general election

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2023 Prince Edward Island general election
← 2019 3 April 2023 (2023-04-03) Next →
All 27 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island
14 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout 68.5%Decrease[1]
  First party Second party Third party
  x150px
LIB
 x150px
Leader Dennis King Sharon Cameron Peter Bevan-Baker
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal Green
Leader since 9 February 2019 19 November 2022 3 November 2012
Leader's seat Brackley-Hunter River Ran in New Haven-Rocky Point (lost) New Haven-Rocky Point
Last election 13 seats, 36.73%[lower-alpha 1] 6 seats, 29.40% 8 seats, 30.56%
Seats before 15 4 8
Seats won 22 3 2
Seat change Increase7 Decrease1 Decrease6
Popular vote 41,828 12,876 16,134
Percentage 55.92% 17.21% 21.57%
Swing Increase19.19% Decrease12.19% Decrease8.99%
450px
450px
Premier before election

Dennis King
Progressive Conservative

 Premier after election

Dennis King
Progressive Conservative

The 2023 Prince Edward Island general election was held to elect the members of the 67th General Assembly of Prince Edward Island on 3 April 2023.[2] The election normally required by 2 October under Prince Edward Island's fixed election date legislation was called early by Premier Dennis King at his nomination meeting on 6 March.[2]

The Progressive Conservatives under incumbent Premier Dennis King won a majority government, gaining a combined seven seats from the Liberal and Green parties. The Liberals won three seats and became the Official Opposition, replacing the Greens who held two of their seats.[3] However, newly-acclaimed Liberal leader Sharon Cameron challenged Green leader Peter Bevan-Baker for his own seat and lost, placing third behind Bevan-Baker and the PC candidate.[4] Following the election, Cameron and Bevan-Baker resigned as leaders of their respective parties.[5][6]

The New Democratic Party ran candidates in all 27 districts, and the Island Party officially registered for the first time since the 2011 election, running candidates in 11 districts.[7] Neither party elected any members to the Legislature.[8] Voter turnout of 68.5% was the province's lowest recorded for a general election since Elections PEI began keeping records in 1966.[1]

Background

Prince Edward Island's fixed election date legislation calls for a general election to be held prior to the first Monday of October in the fourth calendar year subsequent to the previous general election, which would have required an election to be held by 2 October.[9] Instead, the election was called early for 3 April.

Timeline

  • 23 April 2019: General election held. The Progressive Conservative Party wins the most seats, while the incumbent Liberal Party falls to third place. The Green Party becomes the Opposition.
  • 26 April 2019: Outgoing Premier Wade MacLauchlan announces intention to resign leadership of the Liberal Party upon appointment of an interim leader.[10]
  • 8 May 2019: Robert Mitchell is appointed interim Liberal leader.[11]
  • 9 May 2019: Dennis King's Progressive Conservative government is sworn in, following the resignation of Wade MacLauchlan's Liberal government.[12]
  • 13 June 2019: Deferred election date announced for Charlottetown-Hillsborough Park.[13]
  • 6 July 2019: Advance voting in Charlottetown-Hillsborough Park deferred election began, also took place on 8 and 12 July.[14]
  • 15 July 2019: Charlottetown-Hillsborough Park deferred election held, Progressive Conservative candidate Natalie Jameson is elected.[15]
  • 9 September 2019: Robert Mitchell resigns as interim Liberal leader.[16]
  • 16 September 2019: Sonny Gallant is appointed interim Liberal leader.[17]
  • 1 September 2020: Joe Byrne resigns as leader of the New Democratic Party.[18]
  • 23 April 2022: Michelle Neill is elected leader of the New Democratic Party.[19]
  • 19 November 2022: Sharon Cameron is acclaimed leader of the Liberal Party, being the only candidate in the party's leadership election.[20]
  • 6 March 2023: Dennis King is nominated as the PC candidate for Brackley-Hunter River, and announces that the election will be held on 3 April.[2]
  • 3 April 2023: General election held. Progressive Conservatives win a majority government.

Changes in MLAs

Changes in seats held (2019–2023)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Charlottetown-Winsloe 3 September 2020 Robert Mitchell █ Liberal Resigned from Legislature[21] 2 November 2020[22] Zack Bell █ PC
Cornwall-Meadowbank 18 August 2021 Heath MacDonald █ Liberal Resigned to run in Malpeque in the 2021 Canadian federal election.[23] 15 November 2021[24][25] Mark McLane █ PC

Results

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Main article: 67th General Assembly of Prince Edward Island
Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island election results[26]
Party Party leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2019 Dissol. 2023 Change # % Change
Progressive Conservative Dennis King 27 13 15 22 +9 41,828 55.92 +19.19
Green Peter Bevan-Baker 25 8 8 2 –6 16,134 21.57 –8.99
Liberal Sharon Cameron 25 6 4 3 –3 12,876 17.21 –12.19
New Democratic Michelle Neill 27 0 0 0 0 3,359 4.49 +1.53
Island Cecile Sly (Ahava Kálnássy de Kálnás)[27] 11 0 0 0 0 411 0.55 +0.55
  Independent 4 0 0 0 0 184 0.25 –0.09
Blank and invalid ballots
Total 92 27 27 27 0 100 0
Registered voters / turnout
Popular vote
PC
  
 55.92%
Green
  
 21.57%
Liberal
  
 17.21%
New Democratic
  
 4.49%
Others
  
 0.80%
Seats summary
PC
  
 81.48%
Liberal
  
 11.11%
Green
  
 7.41%

Synopsis of results

2023 PEI general election - synopsis of riding results, grouped by federal riding[a 1][a 2]
Riding 2019 Winning party Turnout
[a 3]		 Votes[a 4]
Party Votes Share Margin
#		 Margin
%		 PC Green Lib NDP Island Ind Total
Cardigan
Belfast-Murray River   PC   PC 1,510 58.7% 990 38.5% 65.8% 1,510 420 520 124 – – 2,574
Georgetown-Pownal   PC   PC 1,961 69.8% 1,609 57.3% 73.0% 1,961 352 340 79 78 – 2,810
Mermaid-Stratford   Grn   PC 1,245 45.3% 38 1.4% 68.8% 1,245 1,207 254 43 – – 2,749
Montague-Kilmuir   PC   PC 1,847 70.2% 1,468 55.8% 66.7% 1,847 379 271 38 38 58 2,631
Morell-Donagh   PC   PC 1,899 70.6% 1,550 57.6% 68.1% 1,899 349 282 115 44 – 2,689
Souris-Elmira   PC   PC 1,593 55.4% 836 29.1% 75.8% 1,593 757 481 29 16 – 2,876
Stanhope-Marshfield   PC   PC 2,209 79.6% 1,643 59.2% 65.8% 2,209 – – 566 – – 2,775
Stratford-Keppoch   PC   PC 1,479 52.3% 632 22.4% 72.0% 1,479 847 471 32 – – 2,829
Malpeque
Borden-Kinkora   PC   PC 1,719 60.1% 724 25.3% 67.7% 1,719 995 – 83 61 – 2,858
Brackley-Hunter River   PC   PC 1,903 68.2% 1,420 50.9% 70.2% 1,903 483 321 83 – – 2,790
Cornwall-Meadowbank   Lib   PC 1,750 54.8% 975 30.6% 68.4% 1,750 775 611 60 – – 3,196
Kensington-Malpeque   PC   PC 2,294 76.6% 1,831 61.1% 70.7% 2,294 463 169 67 – –
New Haven-Rocky Point   Grn   Grn 1,457 42.8% 106 3.2% 75.4% 1,351 1,457 502 49 49 – 3,408
Rustico-Emerald   PC   PC 1,990 62.5% 1,431 44.9% 70.8% 1,990 559 532 102 – – 3,183
Charlottetown
Charlottetown-Belvedere   Grn   PC 1,418 51.1% 779 28.1% 66.7% 1,418 639 560 133 25 – 2,775
Charlottetown-Brighton   Grn   PC 1,171 43.0% 307 11.3% 68.4% 1,171 864 487 202 – – 2,724
Charlottetown-Hillsborough Park   PC   PC 1,660 61.9% 1,137 42.4% 63.2% 1,660 523 352 125 21 – 2,681
Charlottetown-Victoria Park   Grn   Grn 1,052 42.0% 74 3.0% 60.8% 978 1,052 293 150 32 – 2,505
Charlottetown-West Royalty   Lib   Lib 1,207  % 165 6.2% 64.2% 1,042 301 1,207 63 28 36 2,677
Charlottetown-Winsloe   Lib   PC 1,861 60.6% 1,308 42.6% 71.4% 1,861 553 540 78 – 41 3,073
Egmont
Alberton-Bloomfield   PC   PC 1,532 57.6% 636 23.9% 73.6% 1,532 132 896 102 – – 2,662
Evangeline-Miscouche   Lib   PC 1,384 61.7% 841 37.5% 69.4% 1,384 271 543 45 – – 2,243
O'Leary-Inverness   Lib   Lib 894 37.2% 156 6.5% 71.2% 738 72 894 702 – – 2,406
Summerside-South Drive   Green   PC 1,378 53.3% 639 24.7% 57.7% 1,378 739 397 70 – – 2,584
Summerside-Wilmot   Green   PC 1,651 56.7% 670 23.0% 66.8% 1,651 981 214 45 19 – 2,910
Tignish-Palmer Road   Lib   Lib 1,527 58.7% 588 22.6% 75.5% 939 – 1,527 137 – – 2,603
Tyne Valley-Sherbrooke   Green   PC 1,326 51.2% 362 14.0% 64.9% 1,326 964 212 37 – 49 2,588

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     = open seat
     = turnout is above provincial average
     = incumbent re-elected in same riding
     = incumbency arose from byelection gain
     = other incumbent renominated
Resulting composition of the 67th General Assembly of Prince Edward Island
Source Party
PC Lib Grn Total
Seats retained Incumbents returned 11 3 2 16
Open seats held 2 2
Seats changing hands Incumbents defeated 4 4
Open seats gained 3 3
Byelection gains held 2 2
Total 22 3 2 27

Seats changing hands

MLAs who lost their seats

Party Name Riding Year elected Seat held by party since Defeated by Party
Green Michele Beaton Mermaid-Stratford 2019 2019 Jenn Redmond Progressive Conservative
Steve Howard Summerside-South Drive 2019 2019 Barb Ramsay
Lynne Lund Summerside-Wilmot 2019 2019 Tyler DesRoches
Trish Altass Tyne Valley-Sherbrooke 2019 2019 Hilton MacLennan

Open seats changing hands

Party in 2019 Candidate Retiring incumbent Constituency Defeated by Party
Green Joanna Morrison Hannah Bell Charlottetown-Belvedere Susie Dillon Progressive Conservative
Janice Harper Ole Hammarlund Charlottetown-Brighton Rob Lantz
Liberal Pat MacLellan Sonny Gallant Evangeline-Miscouche Gilles Arsenault

Incumbent MLAs who did not seek re-election

The following MLAs announced that they would not run in the 2023 provincial election (Ole Hammarlund lost a contested nomination for his seat):

Retiring incumbent Electoral district Subsequent party nominee Elected MLA
  Colin LaVie Progressive Conservative Souris-Elmira Robin Croucher Robin Croucher
  James Aylward Progressive Conservative Stratford-Keppoch Jill Burridge Jill Burridge
  Hannah Bell Green Charlottetown-Belvedere Joanna Morrison Susie Dillon
  Ole Hammarlund Green Charlottetown-Brighton Janice Harper Rob Lantz
  Sonny Gallant Liberal Evangeline-Miscouche Pat MacLellan Gilles Arsenault

Candidates

  • Party leaders' names are in bold; cabinet ministers' names are in italics.
  • Incumbents who didn't run for re-election are denoted with a dagger †.

Cardigan

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Green   Liberal   NDP   Island   Independent
4. Belfast-Murray River   Darlene Compton Laverne MacInnes Katherine Bryson Michelle Hodgson   Darlene Compton
2. Georgetown-Pownal   Steven Myers Patrick Brothers Allister Veinot Edith Perry Lucy Robbins   Steven Myers
5. Mermaid-Stratford   Jenn Redmond Michele Beaton Gail MacDonald Lawrence Millar Michele Beaton
3. Montague-Kilmuir   Cory Deagle Norma Dingwell Nick Sheppard Robert Lethbridge Gary Robbins Angela Barton   Cory Deagle
7. Morell-Donagh   Sidney MacEwen John Allen MacLean Terry MacDonald Kevin Trainor Christopher Landry   Sidney MacEwen
1. Souris-Elmira   Robin Croucher Boyd Leard Amber Dennis Gordon Gay Ahava Kalnassy de Kalnas Colin LaVie†
8. Stanhope-Marshfield   Bloyce Thompson Marian White Bloyce Thompson
6. Stratford-Keppoch   Jill Burridge Lana Beth Barkhouse Greg Arsenault Olalekam Faromika James Aylward†

Malpeque

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Green   Liberal   NDP   Island
19. Borden-Kinkora   Jamie Fox Matt MacFarlane Carole MacFarlane Paul Smitz Jamie Fox
15. Brackley-Hunter River   Dennis King Greg Bradley Nicole Ford Leah-Jane Hayward Dennis King
16. Cornwall-Meadowbank   Mark McLane Tayte Willows Don Leary Larry Hale Mark McLane
20. Kensington-Malpeque   Matthew MacKay Hunter Guindon Richard Schroeter Maggie Larocque Matthew MacKay
17. New Haven-Rocky Point Donalda Docherty   Peter Bevan-Baker Sharon Cameron Douglas Dahn Neil Emery Peter Bevan-Baker
18. Rustico-Emerald   Brad Trivers Ranald MacFarlane Flory Sanderson David Wilson Brad Trivers

Charlottetown

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Green   Liberal   NDP   Island   Independent
11. Charlottetown-Belvedere   Susie Dillon Joanna Morrison Marcia Carroll Aidin Mousavian Jayne McAskill   Hannah Bell†
13. Charlottetown-Brighton   Rob Lantz Janice Harper Sandra Sunil Michelle Neill Ole Hammarlund†
(Lost re-nomination)
9. Charlottetown-Hillsborough Park   Natalie Jameson Adina Nault Dellon Paul Tristan Mitchell Cari Barbour Natalie Jameson
12. Charlottetown-Victoria Park Tim Keizer   Karla Bernard Barb MacLeod Joe Byrne Danni Moher   Karla Bernard
14. Charlottetown-West Royalty Kristi MacKay Nick LeClair   Gord McNeilly Simone Webster Bill Cann Jessica Simmonds   Gord McNeilly
10. Charlottetown-Winsloe   Zack Bell Charles Sanderson Judy Hughes Campbell Webster Georgina Bassett   Zack Bell

Egmont

Electoral district Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Green   Liberal   NDP   Island   Independent
26. Alberton-Bloomfield   Ernie Hudson Ron McConnell Pat Murphy Kester Nurse   Ernie Hudson
24. Evangeline-Miscouche   Gilles Arsenault Jason Charette Pat MacLellan Charles Turriff   Sonny Gallant†
25. O'Leary-Inverness Daniel MacDonald Richard Lush   Robert Henderson Herb Dickieson   Robert Henderson
22. Summerside-South Drive   Barb Ramsay Steve Howard Nancy Beth Guptill Kathryn Yule   Steve Howard
21. Summerside-Wilmot   Tyler DesRoches Lynne Lund Don Reid Cassie MacKay Eriena O'Reilly   Lynne Lund
27. Tignish-Palmer Road April Delaney   Hal Perry Gail Kinch   Hal Perry
23. Tyne Valley-Sherbrooke   Hilton MacLennan Trish Altass Wayne Cobb Carol Rybinski Wayne Biggar   Trish Altass

Opinion polls

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Voting Intentions in Prince Edward Island since the 2019 Election

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The following is a list of scientific opinion polls of published voter intentions.

Polling firm Date(s)
conducted		 Link PC Green Liberal NDP Sample size Lead
General election results 3 April 2023 55.9 21.6 17.2 4.5 74,792 34.3
Forum Research 31 March 2023 [p 1] 47 28 20 4 424 19
Mainstreet Research 27 – 28 March 2023 [p 2] 50.4 21.9 22.3 5.4 962 28.1
Mainstreet Research 6 – 7 March 2023 [p 3] 58.9 14.3 23.2 3.6 515 35.7
6 March 2023 Dissolution of the 66th PEI General Assembly, campaign begins
Narrative Research 13 February – 2 March 2023 [p 4] 49 22 19 9 420 27
Narrative Research 2 – 23 November 2022 [p 5] 49 25 20 4 400 24
Narrative Research 9 – 16 August 2022 [p 6] 55 22 18 4 300 33
Narrative Research 4 – 24 May 2022 [p 7] 50 21 20 8 300 29
Narrative Research 9 – 22 February 2022 [p 8] 66 15 14 4 300 51
Narrative Research 3 – 28 November 2021 [p 9] 51 19 21 8 600 30
Narrative Research 9 – 25 August 2021 [p 10] 48 28 17 7 600 20
Narrative Research 18 – 28 May 2021 [p 11] 53 23 19 4 600 30
Narrative Research 2 – 16 February 2021 [p 12] 54 21 17 4 300 33
Narrative Research 11 – 29 November 2020 [p 13] 61 18 19 2 300 42
Narrative Research 4 – 19 August 2020 [p 14] 48 25 23 4 301 23
Narrative Research 29 April – 17 May 2020 [p 12] 57 22 22 1 216 32
MQO Research 3 – 10 March 2020 [p 15] 41 29 24 6 283 12
Narrative Research 3 – 19 February 2020 [p 16] 45 28 21 6 207 17
Narrative Research 1 – 22 November 2019 [p 17] 38 29 26 6 600 9
Narrative Research 1 – 22 August 2019 [p 18] 45 37 16 1 300 9
MQO Research 31 July – 6 August 2019 [p 19] 40 32 23 2 400 8
Narrative Research 6 – 23 May 2019 [p 20] 43 36 17 3 300 7
General election results 23 April 2019 36.7 30.6 29.4 3.0 80,329 5.9
Polling firm Date(s)
conducted		 Link Sample
size		 Lead
PC Green Liberal NDP

Notes

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References

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Opinion poll sources

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