United States Senate election in Virginia, 2012

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United States Senate election in Virginia, 2012
← 2006 November 6, 2012 2018 →
Turnout 66.4% (voting eligible)[1]
  Tim Kaine, official 113th Congress photo portrait.jpg George Allen official portrait.jpg
Nominee Tim Kaine George Allen
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 2,010,023 1,785,487
Percentage 52.9% 47.0%
Virginia Senate Election Results by County, 2012.svg
U.S. Senate election results map. Blue denotes counties/districts won by Kaine. Red denotes those won by Allen.
U.S. senator before election

Jim Webb
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Tim Kaine
Democratic
Elections in Virginia
Seal of Virginia.svg
This box:

The 2012 United States Senate election in Virginia took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Jim Webb decided to retire instead of running for re-election to a second term.[2] Former Governor of Virginia Tim Kaine was unopposed for the Democratic nomination[3] and the Republican party nominated former Senator and Governor George Allen through a primary on June 12, 2012.[4] Kaine won the open seat.

Republican primary

In Virginia, parties have the option of whether to hold a primary or to nominate their candidate through a party convention. In November 2010, the Virginia GOP announced that it had chosen to hold a primary.[5]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Tim Donner, founder of Horizons Television[10]
  • David McCormick, attorney[11]

Declined

Debates

Three debates between Republican candidates were announced before the primary on June 12, 2012. The debates took place in Richmond, Northern Virginia, and Hampton Roads.[17]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 George
Allen		 Other
candidates		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 11–13, 2011 350 ± 5.2% 53% 25% 22%
Public Policy Polling July 21–24, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 58% 23% 19%
Public Policy Polling February 24–27, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 52% 25% 23%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 George
Allen		 E. W.
Jackson		 Bob
Marshall		 David
McCormick		 Jamie
Radtke		 Undecided
Washington Post April 28 – May 2, 2012 1,101 ± 3.5% 62% 3% 12% — 5% 18%
Public Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 66% 2% 8% — 3% 20%
Public Policy Polling December 11–13, 2011 350 ± 5.2% 67% 2% 3% 2% 5% 21%
Public Policy Polling July 21–24, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 68% 2% 2% 0% 6% 22%

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican George Allen 167,607 65.5
Republican Jamie Radtke 59,005 23.0
Republican Bob Marshall 17,302 6.8
Republican E.W. Jackson 12,083 4.7
Total votes 255,997 100

General election

Candidates

Only Allen and Kaine qualified for the ballot.

Debates

David Gregory moderated a debate between Kaine and Allen on September 20, 2012. Topics included partisan gridlock in Washington policy making, job creation, tax policy, and Middle East unrest.[26]

External links

Campaign

Once incumbent U.S. Senator Jim Webb decided to retire, many Democratic candidates were speculated. These included U.S. Congressmen Rick Boucher,[27] Gerry Connolly,[28] Glenn Nye,[29] Tom Perriello[30] and Bobby Scott.[31] However, they all declined and encouraged Kaine to run for the seat, believing he would be by far the most electable candidate. Courtney Lynch, former Marine Corps Officer and Fairfax business consultant[32] and Julien Modica, former CEO of the Brain Trauma Recovery & Policy Institute,[32] eventually withdrew from the election, allowing Kaine to be unopposed in the Democratic primary.

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Tim Kaine (D) $10,390,929 $7,666,452 $2,724,476 $0
George Allen (R) $8,015,948 $4,678,004 $3,337,942 $0
Kevin Chisholm (I) $24,165 $24,162 $0 $0
Terrence Modglin (I) $5,655 $5,389 $266 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[33][34][35][36]

Top contributors

[37]

Tim Kaine Contribution George Allen Contribution Kevin Chisholm Contribution
League of Conservation Voters $76,568 McGuireWoods LLP $76,950 Valu Net $2,475
Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld $51,650 Altria Group $64,749 Geolq Inc $1,500
University of Virginia $42,075 Alpha Natural Resources $38,000
McGuireWoods LLP $38,550 Elliott Management Corporation $35,913
Covington & Burling $36,700 Koch Industries $35,000
DLA Piper $31,750 Lorillard Tobacco Company $34,715
Bain Capital $30,000 Alliance Resource Partners $33,500
Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom $28,250 Dominion Resources $31,800
Patton Boggs LLP $26,750 Norfolk Southern $31,550
Norfolk Southern $26,000 Boeing $23,750

Top industries

[38]

Tim Kaine Contribution George Allen Contribution Kevin Chisholm Contribution Terrence Modglin Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $1,297,792 Retired $709,693 Misc Energy $250 Lawyers/Law Firms $200
Retired $762,722 Real Estate $384,038
Financial Institutions $477,700 Lawyers/Law Firms $348,459
Business Services $373,900 Financial Institutions $299,115
Real Estate $372,829 Leadership PACs $277,000
Lobbyists $287,545 Lobbyists $275,600
Education $282,475 Mining $197,206
Misc Finance $218,600 Oil & Gas $196,400
Leadership PACs $201,500 Insurance $159,065
Entertainment industry $156,279 Misc Finance $157,963

Independent expenditures

In early October 2012, Crossroads GPS announced it would launch a $16 million advertising buy in national races, of which four were this and three other Senate elections.[39]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Tim
Kaine (D)		 George
Allen (R)		 Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports November 4, 2012 750 ± 4% 49% 47% 1% 4%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 975 ± 3.1% 52% 46% — 2%
NBC/WSJ/Marist November 1–2, 2012 1,165 ± 2.9% 49% 46% — 4%
WeAskAmerica October 30–November 1, 2012 1,069 ± 3% 50% 50% — —
Reuters/Ipsos October 29–31, 2012 703 ± 4.2% 47% 45% 1% 7%
855 ± 3.8% 50% 38% 1% 11%
Zogby/Newsmax October 27–29, 2012 829 ± 3.5% 45% 46% — 9%
Zogby/Newsmax October 26–28, 2012 1,076 ± 3% 47% 45% — 8%
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac October 23–28, 2012 1,074 ± 3% 50% 46% — 4%
Gravis Marketing October 26, 2012 645 ± 3.9% 46% 48% — 5%
Roanoke College October 23–26, 2012 638 ± 4.0% 42% 47% — 10%
Washington Post October 22–26, 2012 1,228 ± 3.5% 51% 44% — 5%
Rasmussen Reports October 24, 2012 750 ± 4.0% 49% 48% 3% —
Rasmussen Reports October 18, 2012 500 ± 4.0% 49% 48% 3% —
Old Dominion University September 19–October 17, 2012 465 ± 3.4% 50% 43% — 6%
Rasmussen Reports October 11, 2012 750 ± 4.0% 48% 47% 1% 4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll October 7–9, 2012 981 ± 3.1% 47% 46% — 7%
We Ask America October 7–9, 2012 1,296 ± 2.9% 41% 46% — 13%
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac October 4–9, 2012 1,288 ± 2.7% 51% 44% — 5%
Public Policy Polling October 4–7, 2012 725 ± 3.6% 51% 44% — 5%
Rasmussen Reports October 4, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 52% 45% — 3%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll September 30–October 1, 2012 969 ± 3.1% 49% 44% 1% 7%
Suffolk University September 24–26, 2012 600 ± 4% 44% 44% — 12%
Huffpost Politics September 20, 2012 1,000 ± 3% 46% 45% — 9%
Gravis Marketing September 17, 2012 2,238 ± 2.2% 43% 48% — 9%
FOX NEWS Poll September 16–18, 2012 1,006 ± 3% 47% 43% 1% 9%
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac September 11–17, 2012 1,485 ± 2.5% 51% 44% — 5%
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2012 1,021 ± 3.1% 47% 46% — 7%
Washington Post September 12–16, 2012 847 ± 4% 51% 43% 3% 4%
Rasmussen Reports September 13, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 47% 45% 2% 6%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll September 9–11, 2012 996 ± 3.1% 46% 46% — 8%
Gravis Marketing September 8–9, 2012 2,238 ± 2.2% 43% 48% — 10%
Rasmussen Reports August 23, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 45% 45% 2% 8%
Public Policy Polling August 16–19, 2012 855 ± 3.4% 46% 46% — 9%
Rasmussen Reports August 7, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 46% 46% 2% 6%
Quinnipiac July 31–August 6, 2012 1,412 ± 2.6% 48% 46% — 6%
Rasmussen Reports July 16–17, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 46% 45% 5% 5%
Quinnipiac July 10–16, 2012 1,673 ± 2.4% 44% 46% 1% 10%
Public Policy Polling July 5–8, 2012 647 ± 3.9% 46% 44% — 11%
We Ask America June 25, 2012 1,106 ± 2.95% 35% 44% — 21%
Quinnipiac May 30–June 4, 2012 1,282 ± 2.7% 44% 43% 2% 10%
Rasmussen Reports June 3, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 46% 44% 3% 6%
Marist May 17–20, 2012 1,076 ± 3% 49% 43% — 9%
Washington Post April 28–May 2, 2012 964 ± 4% 46% 46% — 8%
Public Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 680 ± 3.8% 46% 45% — 9%
Rasmussen Reports April 23, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 45% 46% 4% 5%
Roanoke College March 26–April 5, 2012 537 ± 4.2% 39% 46% — 15%
Rasmussen Reports March 20, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 44% 46% 3% 7%
Quinnipiac March 13–18, 2012 1,034 ± 3.1% 47% 44% 1% 8%
NBC News/Marist February 29–March 2, 2012 2,518 ± 2% 48% 39% — 14%
Roanoke College February 13–26, 2012 607 ± 4.0% 37% 45% — 19%
Rasmussen Reports February 21, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 46% 46% 3% 5%
CNU/Times-Dispatch February 4–13, 2012 1,018 ± 3.1% 40% 42% 2% 16%
Quinnipiac February 1–6, 2012 1,544 ± 2.5% 45% 44% 1% 9%
Mason-Dixon January 16–18, 2012 625 ± 3.9% 46% 46% — 8%
Quinnipiac December 13–19, 2011 1,135 ± 2.9% 42% 44% 1% 12%
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 600 ± 4.0% 47% 42% — 11%
Quinnipiac October 3–9, 2011 1,459 ± 2.6% 45% 44% 1% 9%
CNU/Times-Dispatch October 3–8, 2011 1,027 ± 3.1% 44% 42% 3% 12%
Rasmussen Reports September 28, 2011 500 ± 4.5% 46% 45% 3% 7%
Quinnipiac September 7–12, 2011 1,368 ± 4.0% 44% 45% 1% 9%
Public Policy Polling July 21–24, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 46% 43% — 11%
Quinnipiac June 21–27, 2011 1,434 ± 2.6% 43% 42% 2% 11%
Public Policy Polling May 5–8, 2011 547 ± 4.2% 46% 44% — 10%
Washington Post April 28–May 4, 2011 1,040 ± 3.5% 46% 46% — 6%
Public Policy Polling February 24–27, 2011 524 ± 3.5% 47% 47% — 6%
Public Policy Polling November 10–13, 2010 551 ± 4.2% 50% 44% — 6%

Results

United States Senate election in Virginia, 2012
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Tim Kaine 2,010,023 52.87% +3.4%
Republican George Allen 1,785,487 46.96% -2.2%
Write-In Write-In 6,587 0.17%
Majority 224,536 6.0% +5.6%
Turnout 3,802,097

See also

References

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External links

Official campaign websites


Preceded by Virginia U.S. Senate elections
2012
Tim Kaine		 Succeeded by
2014
Mark Warner
  1. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  2. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  3. ↑ "Kaine hits the road to tout economic plan", The Washington Post. Retrieved April 5, 2012.
  4. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  5. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  6. ↑ 6.0 6.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  7. ↑ Sherfinski, David (May 8, 2011) http://washingtonexaminer.com/local/virginia/2011/05/dark-horse-candidates-expand-gop-field-va-senate-race Retrieved May 9, 2011
  8. ↑ GOP State Delegate Bob Marshall to Enter Va. Senate Race : Roll Call Politics
  9. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  10. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  11. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  12. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  13. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  14. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  15. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  16. ↑ Corey Stewart Endorses George Allen in Virginia : Roll Call Politics
  17. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  18. ↑ Bolling Backs Allen In U.S. Senate Race | Virginia Right!
  19. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  20. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  21. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  22. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  23. ↑ https://www.voterinfo.sbe.virginia.gov/election/DATA/2012/A2E23EAB-7EA6-40E2-AF41-3CE22C787EA4/unofficial/5_s.shtml
  24. ↑ Cillizza, Chris (2011-04-05) "Tim Kaine announces for Senate in Virginia", Washington Post. Retrieved April 5, 2011.
  25. ↑ O'Brien, Michael (2011-04-05) "Tim Kaine launches Virginia Senate bid", The Hill. Retrieved April 5, 2011
  26. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  27. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  28. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  29. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  31. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  32. ↑ 32.0 32.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  33. ↑ Kaine Campaign Finances
  34. ↑ Allen Campaign Finances
  35. ↑ Chisholm Campaign Finances
  36. ↑ Modglin Campaign Finances
  37. ↑ [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=vas1 Center for Responsive Politics
  38. ↑ Donors by industry (opensecrets.org)
  39. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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