New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2016
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2016 New Hampshire gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of New Hampshire, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The primaries will be held on September 13.
Incumbent Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan would have been eligible to for re-election to a third term in office, but instead she has announced she will run for the U.S. Senate against incumbent Senator Kelly Ayotte.[1][2][3][4]
Contents
Background
Governor Maggie Hassan, the incumbent from the Democratic Party, declined to run for reelection, choosing to seek a U.S. Senate seat instead. To date, each party has multiple declared candidates; the primary is scheduled to be held September 13, 2016.
New Hampshire and Vermont are the only states in the country whose governors are elected every two years.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Mark Connolly, former New Hampshire Deputy Secretary of State[5]
- Steve Marchand, former Mayor of Portsmouth[6]
- Colin Van Ostern, Executive Councilor[7]
Potential
- Jackie Cilley, State Representative, former State Senator and candidate for Governor in 2012[8]
- Dan Feltes, State Senator[8]
- Andrew Hosmer, State Senator[9][10]
- Chris Pappas, Executive Councilor[8]
- Stefany Shaheen, Portsmouth City Councilor and daughter of U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen[8]
- Donna Soucy, State Senator[11]
- Mike Vlacich, campaign manager for Senator Shaheen[8]
Declined
- Maggie Hassan, incumbent Governor (running for U.S. Senate)[4]
- Ann McLane Kuster, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[11]
- Shawn O'Connor, businessman (running for NH-01)[8][12][13]
- Carol Shea-Porter, former U.S. Representative (running for NH-01)[14][15]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Connolly |
Colin Van Ostern |
Steve Marchand |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University | May 25–28, 2016 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 5% | 12% | 2% | 6% | 74% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 30-December 2, 2015 | 458 | ± 4.6% | 15% | 21% | — | — | 64% |
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Frank Edelblut, State Representative and entrepreneur[16]
- Jeanie Forrester, State Senator[17][18]
- Ted Gatsas, Mayor of Manchester[19]
- Chris Sununu, Executive Councilor, son of former Governor John H. Sununu and brother of former U.S. Senator John E. Sununu[20]
Potential
- Jeb Bradley, Majority Leader of the State Senate and former U.S. Representative[21]
- River Marmorstein, State Senator [1]
- Donnalee Lozeau, Mayor of Nashua[22]
- Chuck Morse, President of the State Senate[21]
- Andy Sanborn, State Senator[21]
Declined
- Walt Havenstein, businessman and nominee for Governor in 2014[23]
Endorsements
| Chris Sununu |
|---|
|
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Frank Edelblut |
Chris Sununu |
Ted Gatsas |
Jeannie Forrester |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University | May 25–28, 2016 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 0% | 44% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 36% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 30-December 2, 2015 | 454 | ± 4.6% | 12% | 60% | — | — | — | 28% |
General election
Polling
- With Shaheen
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Stefany Shaheen (D) |
Jeb Bradley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 16–18, 2015 | 880 | ± 3.3% | 37% | 39% | — | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Stefany Shaheen (D) |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 16–18, 2015 | 880 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 41% | — | 19% |
- With Cilley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jackie Cilley (D) |
Jeb Bradley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | April 9–13, 2015 | 747 | ± 3.6% | 31% | 37% | — | 31% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jackie Cilley (D) |
Donnalee Lozeau (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | April 9–13, 2015 | 747 | ± 3.6% | 32% | 26% | — | 43% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jackie Cilley (D) |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | April 9–13, 2015 | 747 | ± 3.6% | 36% | 37% | — | 27% |
- With Van Ostern
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Colin Van Ostern (D) |
Frank Edelblut (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 4-6, 2016 | 1,036 | ± 3% | 30% | 25% | — | 45% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 30-December 2, 2015 | 990 | ± 3.1% | 30% | 26% | — | 44% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Colin Van Ostern (D) |
Jeb Bradley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 16–18, 2015 | 880 | ± 3.3% | 31% | 40% | — | 29% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 21–24, 2015 | 841 | ± 3.4% | 31% | 38% | — | 31% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 9–13, 2015 | 747 | ± 3.6% | 31% | 37% | — | 32% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Colin Van Ostern (D) |
Donnalee Lozeau (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | April 9–13, 2015 | 747 | ± 3.6% | 31% | 27% | — | 42% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Colin Van Ostern (D) |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing | January 15–18, 2016 | 1,197 | ± 2.8% | 33% | 47% | — | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4-6, 2016 | 1,036 | ± 3% | 35% | 39% | — | 26% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 30-December 2, 2015 | 990 | ± 3.1% | 34% | 40% | — | 25% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 16–18, 2015 | 880 | ± 3.3% | 34% | 41% | — | 25% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 21–24, 2015 | 841 | ± 3.4% | 32% | 39% | — | 29% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 9–13, 2015 | 747 | ± 3.6% | 34% | 37% | — | 29% |
- With Norelli
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terie Norelli (D) |
Jeb Bradley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 21–24, 2015 | 841 | ± 3.4% | 33% | 39% | — | 29% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terie Norelli (D) |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 21–24, 2015 | 841 | ± 3.4% | 34% | 39% | — | 27% |
- With Pappas
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Pappas (D) |
Jeb Bradley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 21–24, 2015 | 841 | ± 3.4% | 33% | 38% | — | 29% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Pappas (D) |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 21–24, 2015 | 841 | ± 3.4% | 34% | 38% | — | 28% |
- With Connolly
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Connolly (D) |
Frank Edelblut (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 4-6, 2016 | 1,036 | ± 3% | 31% | 24% | — | 45% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 30-December 2, 2015 | 990 | ± 3.1% | 33% | 24% | — | 43% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Connolly (D) |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 4-6, 2016 | 1,036 | ± 3% | 36% | 38% | — | 25% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 30-December 2, 2015 | 990 | ± 3.1% | 36% | 40% | — | 24% |
Hypothetical polling
- With Hassan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Jeb Bradley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 21–24, 2015 | 841 | ± 3.4% | 48% | 39% | — | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 9–13, 2015 | 747 | ± 3.6% | 53% | 36% | — | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Donnalee Lozeau (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | April 9–13, 2015 | 747 | ± 3.6% | 55% | 25% | — | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 21–24, 2015 | 841 | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | — | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 9–13, 2015 | 747 | ± 3.6% | 52% | 35% | — | 13% |
References
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- Derek Dextraze For Governor
- Chris Sununu for Governor
- Mark Connolly for Governor
- Colin Van Ostern for Governor
- Frank Edelblut for Governor
- Jon Lavoie for Governor
- Ted Gatsas for Governor
- Jeanie Forrester for Governor
- Jilletta Jarvis for NH Governor 2016
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o_VSGBW8ADk Pundit prediction: Hassan knocks off Ayotte in 2016
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