United States Senate election in California, 2016
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2016 United States Senate election in California will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of California, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Under California's nonpartisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, which will be held on June 7, 2016, voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers — regardless of party — advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election. Washington is the only other state with this system, a so-called "top two primary" (Louisiana has a similar "jungle primary").
Incumbent Democratic Senator Barbara Boxer is not running for re-election to a fifth term in office.[1] This will be the first open seat Senate election in California in 24 years. The open jungle primary will be held on June 7.[2]
Contents
Background
Barbara Boxer was re-elected with 52.1% of the vote in 2010 against Republican Carly Fiorina. Towards the end of 2014, Boxer's low fundraising and cash-on-hand numbers led to speculation that she would retire.[3][4] On January 8, 2015, Boxer announced that she would not run for re-election.[1]
Candidates
Democratic Party
Declared
- Cristina Grappo[5]
- Kamala Harris, California Attorney General[6]
- Massie Munroe, engineer[5]
- Herbert G. Peters[5]
- Emory Rodgers, activist[7]
- Loretta Sanchez, U.S. Representative[8]
- Steve Stokes, small business owner and Independent candidate for CA-28 in 2014[9]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Toni Atkins, Speaker of the California State Assembly and former Mayor of San Diego[13]
- Karen Bass, U.S. Representative and former Speaker of the California State Assembly[14]
- Xavier Becerra, U.S. Representative and candidate for Mayor of Los Angeles in 2001[15]
- Ami Bera, U.S. Representative[16]
- Barbara Boxer, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]
- Jerry Brown, Governor of California, former California Attorney General and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1982[17]
- Julia Brownley, U.S. Representative[16]
- Louis Caldera, former Director of the White House Military Office, former United States Secretary of the Army, and former State Assemblyman[18]
- Tony Cárdenas, U.S. Representative[19][20]
- John Chiang, California State Treasurer, former California State Controller and former member of the State Board of Equalization[21]
- Kevin de León, President pro tempore of the California State Senate[22][23]
- John Garamendi, U.S. Representative, former Lieutenant Governor of California, former California Insurance Commissioner and former Deputy Secretary of the Interior[24][25]
- Eric Garcetti, Mayor of Los Angeles[1][3][26]
- Jane Harman, Director, President and CEO of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, former U.S. Representative and candidate for Governor in 1998[27][28]
- Jared Huffman, U.S. Representative[29]
- Kevin Johnson, Mayor of Sacramento and former professional basketball player[30]
- Dave Jones, California Insurance Commissioner and former State Assemblyman[31]
- Sam Liccardo, Mayor of San Jose[28][32]
- Bill Lockyer, former California State Treasurer and former California Attorney General[33][34]
- Gloria Molina, former Los Angeles County Supervisor[19]
- Janet Napolitano, President of the University of California, former United States Secretary of Homeland Security and former Governor of Arizona[3]
- Gavin Newsom, Lieutenant Governor of California and former Mayor of San Francisco (running for Governor in 2018)[35]
- Alex Padilla, Secretary of State of California and former State Senator[4][36]
- Raul Ruiz, U.S. Representative[24][36][37]
- Linda Sánchez, U.S. Representative[20][38]
- Sheryl Sandberg, COO of Facebook[39][40][41]
- Adam Schiff, U.S. Representative[42]
- Hilda Solis, Los Angeles County Supervisor, former United States Secretary of Labor and former U.S. Representative[36]
- Jackie Speier, U.S. Representative and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2006[36][43][44]
- Darrell Steinberg, former President pro tempore of the California State Senate[22][45][46]
- Tom Steyer, hedge fund manager, philanthropist and environmentalist[47]
- Eric Swalwell, U.S. Representative[48]
- Mark Takano, U.S. Representative[16]
- Ellen Tauscher, former Under Secretary of State for Arms Control and International Security Affairs and former U.S. Representative[49]
- Antonio Villaraigosa, former Mayor of Los Angeles[26][50][51][52]
- Steve Westly, former California State Controller and candidate for Governor in 2006[27][53] (running for Governor in 2018)[54]
- Betty Yee, California State Controller and former member of the State Board of Equalization[55]
Republican Party
Declared
- Greg Conlon, businessman[5]
- Tom Del Beccaro, former Chairman of the California Republican Party[56][57][58]
- Von Hougo, educator[59]
- Don Krampe, retiree and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[60]
- Jerry J. Laws[5]
- Tom Palzer, former city planner[61]
- Karen Roseberry, educator[5]
- George "Duf" Sundheim, former Chairman of the California Republican Party[56][62][63]
- Ron Unz, activist and candidate for Governor in 1994[64]
- Jarrell Williamson, attorney[5]
- Phil Wyman, former State Senator[65][66]
- George C. Yang, businessman[5]
Withdrawn
- Rocky Chavez, State Assemblyman (running for reelection)[67][68][69][70]
Declined
- Mary Bono, former U.S. Representative[36]
- Tom Campbell, former U.S. Representative, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2000 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1992 and 2010[71]
- Carl DeMaio, former San Diego City Council member, candidate for Mayor of San Diego in 2012 and candidate for California's 52nd congressional district in 2014[72]
- Tim Donnelly, former State Assemblyman, Minuteman founder and candidate for Governor in 2014[33][73] (running for CA-08)
- David Dreier, former U.S. Representative[74]
- Larry Elder, talk radio host and attorney[75][76]
- Kevin Faulconer, Mayor of San Diego[77]
- Carly Fiorina, businesswoman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 (running for President)[2][3][78]
- Darrell Issa, U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1998[3][79]
- Neel Kashkari, former Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Financial Stability and candidate for Governor of California in 2014[80]
- Ernie Konnyu, former U.S. Representative and former State Assemblyman[81]
- Abel Maldonado, former Lieutenant Governor of California, candidate for California State Controller in 2006, for CA-24 in 2012 and for Governor in 2014[19]
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. Representative and House Majority Leader[26][82]
- Tom McClintock, U.S. Representative, candidate for Controller in 1994 and 2002, for Governor in 2003 and for Lieutenant Governor in 2006[83]
- Charles Munger, Jr., physicist and political activist[28][84]
- Doug Ose, former U.S. Representative[22]
- Pete Peterson, Executive Director of the Davenport Institute for Public Engagement at Pepperdine University and candidate for Secretary of State of California in 2014[16][85]
- Steve Poizner, former California Insurance Commissioner and candidate for Governor in 2010[28]
- Condoleezza Rice, former United States Secretary of State, former United States National Security Advisor and former Provost of Stanford University[86]
- Ed Royce, U.S. Representative[22][87]
- Arnold Schwarzenegger, actor and former Governor of California[2][88]
- Ashley Swearengin, Mayor of Fresno and candidate for California State Controller in 2014[89]
- Meg Whitman, President and CEO of Hewlett-Packard and nominee for Governor in 2010[2][28]
Green Party
Declared
- Pamela Elizondo[5]
Libertarian Party
Declared
- Mark Matthew Herd, community organizer[5]
- Gail Lightfoot, retired nurse and perennial candidate[5]
Peace and Freedom Party
Declared
- John Thompson Parker[5]
Independent
Declared
- Mikelis Beitiks, climate change activist[90]
- Eleanor Garcia, factory worker[5]
- Tim Gildersleeve[5]
- Clive Grey[5]
- Don Grundmann, chiropractor, Chairman of the Constitution Party of California, and perennial candidate[5] (also sought the Constitution Party nomination for President of the United States)
- Jason Hanania, attorney and engineer[5]
- Jason Kraus[5]
- Paul Merritt[5]
- Gar Myers[5]
- Ling Ling Shi, author[5]
- Scott A. Vineberg[5]
Declined
- Angelina Jolie, actress, filmmaker and former Goodwill Ambassador for the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees[91][92]
Endorsements
| Rocky Chávez |
|---|
|
| Tom Del Beccaro |
|---|
|
| Loretta Sanchez |
|---|
|
| Duf Sundheim |
|---|
|
Primary election
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Del Beccaro (R) |
Duf Sundheim (R) |
Ron Unz (R) |
Kamala Harris (D) |
Loretta Sanchez (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Institute of California | May 13-22, 2016 | 996 | ± 4.3% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 27% | 19% | — | 22% |
| SurveyUSA | May 19-22, 2016 | 1,416 | 9% | 9% | 7% | 31% | 22% | 7% | 15% | |
| SurveyUSA | April 27–30, 2016 | 2400 | ± 2.6% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 29% | 18% | 6% | 22% |
|
Hypothetical polling |
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Results
| Primary results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Democratic | Akinyemi Olabode Agbede | |||
| No party preference | Mike Beitiks | |||
| Republican | Greg Conlon | |||
| Republican | Tom Del Beccaro | |||
| Green | Pamela Elizondo | |||
| No party preference | Eleanor García | |||
| No party preference | Tim Gildersleeve | |||
| Democratic | President Cristina Grappo | |||
| No party preference | Clive Grey | |||
| No party preference | Don J. Grundmann | |||
| No party preference | Jason Hanania | |||
| Democratic | Kamala Harris | |||
| Libertarian | Mark Matthew Herd | |||
| Republican | Von Hougo | |||
| Republican | Don Krampe | |||
| No party preference | Jerry J. Laws | |||
| Libertarian | Gail K. Lightfoot | |||
| No party preference | Paul Merritt | |||
| Democratic | Massie Munroe | |||
| No party preference | Gar Myers | |||
| Republican | Tom Palzer | |||
| Peace and Freedom | John Thompson Parker | |||
| Democratic | Herbert G. Peters | |||
| Democratic | Emory Peretz Rodgers | |||
| Republican | Karen Roseberry | |||
| Democratic | Loretta Sanchez | |||
| No party preference | Ling Ling Shi | |||
| Democratic | Steve Stokes | |||
| Republican | Duf Sundheim | |||
| Republican | Ron Unz | |||
| No party preference | Scott A. Vineberg | |||
| Republican | Jarrell Williamson | |||
| Republican | Phil Wyman | |||
| Republican | George C. Yang | |||
| Total votes | ' | ' | ||
General election
Fundraising
The following are Federal Election Commission disclosures through the reporting period ending March 31, 2016.
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris (D) | $9,749,024 | $4,759,048 | $4,989,977 | $78,900 |
| Loretta Sanchez (D) | $3,251,186 | $921,291 | $2,329,895 | $209,217 |
| Tom Del Beccaro (R) | $316,560 | $238,612 | $77,946 | $74,465 |
| George 'Duf' Sundheim (R) | $532,638 | $475,415 | $57,222 | $181,640 |
| Phillip Wyman (R) | $48,900 | $11,761 | $30,737 | $40,000 |
| Clive Grey (I) | $38,916 | $21,554 | $17,361 | $25,000 |
| Greg Conlon (R) | $21,205 | $13,396 | $7,809 | $9,575 |
| Mike Beitiks (I) | $6,305 | $4,860 | $1,444 | $0 |
| Steve Stokes (D) | $4,864 | $4,351 | $762 | $4,742 |
| Emory Rodgers (D) | $7,246 | $6,988 | $290 | $0 |
| Tom Palzer (R) | $2,783 | $2,442 | $241 | $0 |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[158] | Likely D | March 25, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[159] | Safe D | April 3, 2016 |
| Roll Call[160] | Safe D | April 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[161] | Safe D | March 21, 2016 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris (D) |
Loretta Sanchez (D) |
Would not vote |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Institute of California | May 13-22, 2016 | 996 | ± 4.3% | 34% | 26% | 24% | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris (D) |
David Dreier (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[151][152] | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | ± ? | 47% | 42% | — | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Eric Garcetti (D) |
Kamala Harris (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[157] | December 29–30, 2014 | 869 | ± ? | 20% | 35% | — | 46% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris (D) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC | February 18–24, 2015 | 1,505 | ± 2.7% | 45% | 27% | 3% | 24% |
| Public Policy Polling[151][152] | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | ± ? | 45% | 23% | — | 33% |
| Public Policy Polling[156] | January 22, 2015 | 627 | ± ? | 41% | 16% | — | 43% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Schiff (D) |
David Dreier (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[151][152] | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | ± ? | 43% | 42% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
David Dreier (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[151][152] | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | ± ? | 46% | 44% | — | 10% |
References
<templatestyles src="Reflist/styles.css" />
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<references />, or <references group="..." />External links
- Official campaign websites
- Kamala Harris (D) for Senate
- Loretta Sanchez (D) for Senate
- Steve Stokes (D) for Senate
- Emory Rodgers (D) for Senate
- Tom Del Beccaro (R) for Senate
- Greg Conlon (R) for Senate
- Don Krampe (R) for Senate
- Von Hougo (R) for Senate
- Tom Palzer (R) for Senate
- Karen Rosebery (R) for Senate
- Phil Wyman for Senate
- Ron Unz (R) for Senate
- Jarrell Williamson (R) for Senate
- George 'Duf' Sundheim (R) for Senate
- Mark Herd (L) for Senate
- Gail Lightfoot (L) for Senate
- Mikelis Beitiks (I) for Senate
- Clive Grey (I) for Senate
- Don Grundmann (I) for Senate
- Jason Hanania (I) for Senate
- John Kraus (I) for Senate
- Paul Merritt (I) for Senate
- Gar Myers (I) for Senate
- Ling Ling Shi (I) for Senate
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- ↑ 118.0 118.1 Political Blotter, "A third U.S. Senator supports Kamala Harris," January 16, 2015
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- ↑ Politico, "Elizabeth Warren endorses, raises money for Kamala Harris," January 14, 2015
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- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 143.0 143.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 146.0 146.1 146.2 146.3 146.4 146.5 146.6 146.7 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Half of the sample were offered former state Republican Party Chairman Tom Del Beccaro and the other half were offered former state Republican Party Chairman George Sundheim instead. Del Beccaro took 6% and Sundheim 5%.
- ↑ 151.0 151.1 151.2 151.3 151.4 Poll conducted for the Los Angeles County Young Democrats
- ↑ 152.0 152.1 152.2 152.3 152.4 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Poll for the California Latino Legislative Caucus, which supports Villaraigosa
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 156.0 156.1 Internal poll for the Kamala Harris campaign
- ↑ 157.0 157.1 Poll for "allies of one of the potential candidates"
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
