United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2014
![]() |
|||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||
125px Results by town
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Hampshire, concurrently with the election of the Governor of New Hampshire, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen ran for re-election to a second term in office.[1] Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014.[2] Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination and the Republicans nominated former U.S. Senator Scott Brown, who represented Massachusetts from 2010 to 2013.[3]
Brown was seeking to become only the third person in history and the first in 135 years to represent more than one state in the United States Senate. Waitman T. Willey represented Virginia from 1861 to 1863 and West Virginia from 1863 to 1871 and James Shields represented Illinois from 1849 to 1855, Minnesota from 1858 to 1859 and Missouri in 1879.[4] Since the 17th Amendment, which provides for the popular election of Senators as opposed to state legislatures, was ratified in 1913, Brown would have been the first person popularly elected to two different states in the Senate.
Shaheen defeated Brown by 51.5% to 48.2%, thus Brown became the first man to lose two Senate races to women, having previously lost to Elizabeth Warren in Massachusetts in 2012.[5]
Contents
Democratic primary
Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.
Candidates
Declared
- Jeanne Shaheen, incumbent U.S. Senator[6]
Endorsements
Jeanne Shaheen (Incumbent) |
---|
Individuals * Angus King, U.S. Senator (I-ME)[7] |
Results
Democratic primary results[8] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Jeanne Shaheen (Incumbent) | 74,504 | 100 |
Republican primary
The Republican primary for this election was much more highly contested than the respective Democratic one, with Scott Brown beating out Jim Rubens and Bob Smith for the Republican nomination.
Candidates
Declared
- Gerard Beloin, candidate for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2012 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[9]
- Scott Brown, former U.S. Senator from Massachusetts[10]
- Robert D'Arcy[9]
- Miroslaw "Miro" Dziedzic, candidate for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2012[9]
- Mark W. Farnham, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1992[9]
- Liam Annis
- Bob Heghmann[9]
- Walter W. Kelly[9]
- Andy Martin, perennial candidate[11]
- Jim Rubens, Chairman of the Granite State Coalition Against Expanded Gambling, former State Senator and candidate for Governor in 1998[12]
- Bob Smith, former U.S. Senator, candidate for President in 2000 and candidate for the U.S. Senate from Florida in 2004 and 2010[13]
Withdrew
Declined
- Rich Ashooh, candidate for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2010[16]
- Al Baldasaro, State Representative[17]
- Charles Bass, former U.S. Representative[18]
- Bill Binnie, industrialist, investment banker and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[19]
- Jeb Bradley, Majority Leader of the New Hampshire Senate and former U.S. Representative[20]
- David M. Cote, Chairman and CEO of Honeywell[16]
- Judd Gregg, former U.S. Senator and former Governor of New Hampshire[21][22]
- Frank Guinta, former U.S. Representative (ran for NH-01)[23][24]
- Daniel Innis, Dean of the Peter T. Paul College of Business and Economics at the University of New Hampshire (ran for NH-01)[25]
- Ovide Lamontagne, businessman, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and nominee for Governor in 1996 and 2012[26]
- Andy Sanborn, State Senator[27]
- Mark Steyn, conservative author and political commentator[28]
- Christopher Sununu, Executive Councillor, son of former Governor John H. Sununu and brother of former U.S. Senator John E. Sununu (ran for re-election)[29]
- John E. Sununu, former U.S. Senator[30]
- Fred Tausch, businessman[30]
- Fran Wendelboe, former State Representative and candidate for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2002[16]
Endorsements
Scott Brown |
---|
Individuals
|
Bob Smith |
---|
Individuals
|
Jim Rubens |
---|
Individuals
|
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Charles Bass |
Scott Brown |
Andy Martin |
Jim Rubens |
Bob Smith |
Karen Testerman |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC/Marist | July 7–13, 2014 | 1,342 | ± 2.7% | — | 61% | — | 10% | 16% | — | 1% | 12% |
Suffolk/Boston Herald | June 14–18, 2014 | 419 | ± 4.8% | — | 40.33% | 0.24% | 3.58% | 12.17% | — | 2.88%[33] | 40.81% |
Vox Populi Polling | May 14–15, 2014 | ? | ± 5.2% | — | 38% | — | 9% | 13% | 8% | — | 32% |
Suffolk/Boston Herald | Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 | 426 | ± 4.8% | — | 33.33% | 0.7% | 3.05% | 11.97% | 3.29% | — | 47.65% |
Gravis Marketing | January 29–30, 2014 | 498 | ± 4.3% | — | 51% | — | — | 22% | — | — | 27% |
Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 528 | ± 4.3% | — | 42% | 11% | 8% | 11% | 7% | — | 22% |
— | — | 4% | 12% | 26% | 10% | — | 47% | ||||
New England College | October 7–9, 2013 | 424 | ± 4.56% | 21% | 47% | — | 5% | — | 4% | — | 23% |
Results
Republican primary results[34] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Scott Brown | 58,775 | 49.86 | |
Republican | Jim Rubens | 27,089 | 22.98 | |
Republican | Bob Smith | 26,593 | 22.56 | |
Republican | Walter W. Kelly | 1,376 | 1.17 | |
Republican | Bob Heghmann | 784 | 0.67 | |
Republican | Andy Martin | 734 | 0.62 | |
Republican | Mark W. Farnham | 733 | 0.62 | |
Republican | Miroslaw "Miro" Dziedzic | 508 | 0.43 | |
Republican | Gerard Beloin | 492 | 0.42 | |
Republican | Robert D'Arcy | 397 | 0.34 | |
Democratic | Jeanne Shaheen (write-in) | 220 | 0.19 | |
Scatter | 183 | 0.16 | ||
Total votes | 117,884 | 100 |
General election
Fundraising
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on Hand |
---|---|---|---|
Jeanne Shaheen (D) | $12,503,497 | $11,568,326 | $1,971,242 |
Scott Brown (R) | $6,752,981 | $6,331,278 | $1,027,069 |
Independent expenditures
Super PAC | Supporting | Amount | Media | Goal |
---|---|---|---|---|
Senate Majority PAC | Jeanne Shaheen | $682,558[35] | TV | Oppose Scott Brown |
League of Conservation Voters Victory Fund | Jeanne Shaheen | $364,320[35] | TV | Oppose Scott Brown |
Ending Spending Inc. | Scott Brown | $61,448[36] | Media | Oppose Jeanne Shaheen |
Ending Spending Action Fund | Scott Brown | $60,136[36] | Media | Support Scott Brown |
New Hampshire PAC to Save America | Jim Rubens | $57,866[35] | Direct Mail | Support Jim Rubens |
NextGen Climate Action Committee | Jeanne Shaheen | $37,421[36] | Digital Advertising | Oppose Scott Brown |
Ocean Champions | Jeanne Shaheen | $25,000[36] | Media | Oppose Scott Brown |
Tea Party Victory Fund | Bob Smith | $15,000[35] | Voter Contact Calls | Support Bob Smith |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeanne Shaheen (D) |
Scott Brown (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 1–3, 2014 | 1,690 | ± 2.4% | 50% | 48% | — | 3% |
WMUR/UNH | October 29–November 2, 2014 | 757 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 45% | 3% | 6% |
New England College | October 31–November 1, 2014 | 1,526 | ± 2.51% | 48.2% | 48.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% |
Public Policy Polling | October 30–31, 2014 | 679 | ± ? | 49% | 47% | — | 4% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 29–30, 2014 | 940 | ± 3% | 52% | 45% | 1% | 2% |
American Research Group | October 27–29, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 49% | 49% | — | 2% |
Vox Populi Polling | October 27–28, 2014 | 638 | ± 3.9% | 49% | 45% | — | 6% |
WMUR/UNH | October 22–26, 2014 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 42% | — | 8% |
New England College | October 24, 2014 | 1,132 | ± 2.91% | 46.8% | 48.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,042 | ± 4% | 46% | 41% | 1% | 12% |
American Research Group | October 19–22, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 49% | 48% | — | 3% |
Public Policy Polling | October 20–21, 2014 | 764 | ± ? | 49% | 45% | — | 5% |
CNN/ORC | October 18–21, 2014 | 645 LV | ± 4% | 49% | 47% | — | 3% |
877 RV | ± 3.5% | 50% | 44% | — | 5% | ||
UMass Lowell | October 15–21, 2014 | 643 LV | ± 4.5% | 49% | 46% | 1% | 4% |
900 RV | ± 3.8% | 48% | 41% | 2% | 10% | ||
Suffolk/Boston Herald | October 16–19, 2014 | 500 | ± ? | 48.6% | 45.6% | — | 5.8% |
New England College | October 16, 2014 | 921 | ± 3.23% | 47.3% | 47.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
UMass Amherst | October 10–15, 2014 | 322 LV | ± 6.6% | 48% | 45% | 5% | 2% |
400 RV | ± 6% | 49% | 41% | 5% | 5% | ||
New England College | October 9, 2014 | 1,081 | ± 2.98% | 46.9% | 48% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
Kiley & Company | October 7–9, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 50% | 44% | — | 6% |
High Point University | October 4–8, 2014 | 824 | ± 3.4% | 48% | 46% | — | 6% |
WMUR/UNH | September 29–October 5, 2014 | 532 | ± 4.2% | 47% | 41% | 1% | 10% |
New England College | October 3, 2014 | 1,286 | ± 2.73% | 48.5% | 45.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 1,260 | ± 3% | 48% | 41% | 1% | 10% |
New England College | September 26, 2014 | 1,331 | ± 2.69% | 47.1% | 46.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% |
American Research Group | September 27–29, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 53% | 43% | — | 4% |
New England College | September 19–20, 2014 | 1,494 | ± 2.54% | 50.1% | 42.8% | 4% | 3.2% |
Public Policy Polling | September 18–19, 2014 | 652 | ± 3.8% | 50% | 44% | — | 5% |
Vox Populi Polling | September 15–16, 2014 | 550 | ± 4.2% | 43% | 47% | — | 11% |
American Research Group | September 12–15, 2014 | 544 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 45% | — | 5% |
New England College | September 10–11, 2014 | 630 | ± 3.98% | 51% | 40.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 10–11, 2014 | 1,027 | ± 3.1% | 48% | 42% | 5% | 5% |
Magellan Strategies | September 10–11, 2014 | 2,214 | ± 2% | 44.3% | 45.9% | — | 9.8% |
CNN/ORC | September 8–11, 2014 | 735 LV | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | — | 4% |
883 RV | ± 3.5% | 51% | 44% | — | 5% | ||
Kiley & Company | September 9–11, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 51% | 43% | — | 6% |
Global Strategy Group | September 10, 2014 | 1,027 | ± 3.1% | 48% | 41% | — | 11% |
Kiley & Company | September 2–4, 2014 | 602 | ± 4% | 50% | 42% | — | 8% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 1,159 | ± 4% | 47% | 41% | 4% | 9% |
Public Opinion Strategies | August 27–September 1, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 44% | 41% | 9%[37] | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | August 27–28, 2014 | 766 | ± ? | 50% | 44% | — | 6% |
WMUR/UNH | August 7–17, 2014 | 609 | ± 4% | 46% | 44% | 1% | 9% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,251 | ± 2.9% | 50% | 40% | 4% | 6% |
Magellan Strategies | July 7–13, 2014 | 1,618 | ± 2.43% | 46% | 41.1% | — | 12.9% |
NBC News/Marist | July 7–13, 2014 | 1,342 | ± 2.7% | 50% | 42% | 1% | 6% |
WMUR/UNH | June 19–July 1, 2014 | 509 | ± 4.3% | 52% | 40% | 1% | 7% |
Suffolk/Boston Herald | June 14–18, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 49.38% | 39.38% | 2.5%[37] | 8.75% |
American Research Group | June 14–18, 2014 | 540 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 38% | — | 12% |
Vox Populi Polling | May 14–15, 2014 | 707 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 35% | — | 18% |
Hickman Analytics | April 24–30, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 43% | — | 8% |
Rockefeller Center | April 21–25, 2014 | 412 | ± 4.8% | 39% | 36% | — | 25% |
WMUR/UNH | April 1–9, 2014 | 387 | ± 5% | 45% | 39% | 2% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | April 7–8, 2014 | 1,034 | ± 3.1% | 49% | 41% | — | 10% |
American Research Group | March 13–16, 2014 | 533 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 38% | — | 12% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 12–13, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 50% | 41% | 4% | 5% |
Suffolk/Boston Herald | February 27–March 5, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 52% | 39.13% | — | 8.87% |
Public Policy Polling | February 19–20, 2014 | 686 | ± 3.7% | 47% | 39% | — | 14% |
WMUR/UNH | January 21–26, 2014 | 454 | ± 4.1% | 47% | 37% | 3% | 14% |
Harper Polling | January 22–23, 2014 | 513 | ± 4.33% | 40% | 35% | — | 25% |
Purple Strategies | January 21–23, 2014 | 1,052 | ± 3% | 44% | 44% | — | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,354 | ± 2.7% | 46% | 43% | — | 10% |
American Research Group | December 13–16, 2013 | 549 | ± 4.2% | 48% | 38% | — | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2013 | 1,038 | ± 3% | 48% | 44% | — | 7% |
New England College | May 2–5, 2013 | 807 | ± 3.27% | 54% | 35% | — | 11% |
Rockefeller Center | April 22–25, 2013 | 433 | ± 4.7% | 44.2% | 29.5% | — | 26.3% |
Public Policy Polling | April 19–21, 2013 | 933 | ± ? | 52% | 41% | — | 7% |
Hypothetical polling |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Results
The race was close throughout the night. However, with 57% of the vote in MSNBC was comfortable enough with Shaheen's lead to declare her the victor. Brown called Shaheen to concede at 11:32 P.M. EST. Shaheen won with nearly a three-point majority.
U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire, 2014[38] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Jeanne Shaheen (Incumbent) | 251,184 | 51.46 | |
Republican | Scott Brown | 235,347 | 48.21 | |
None | Scatter | 1,628 | 0.33 | |
Total votes | 488,159 | 100 | ||
Democratic hold |
See also
References
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.5 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 16.0 16.1 16.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 30.0 30.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Miro Dziedzic 0.72%, Bob Heghmann 0.72%, Walter Kelly 0.72%, Mark Farnham 0.48%, Robert D’Arcy 0.24%
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 35.0 35.1 35.2 35.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 36.0 36.1 36.2 36.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 37.0 37.1 37.2 37.3 Gardner Goldsmith (L)
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
External links
- U.S. Senate elections in New Hampshire, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Scott Brown vs Jeanne Shaheen graph of multiple polls from HuffPost Pollster
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org